Connecticut vs Syracuse 10/19/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Connecticut winning 51% of simulations, and Syracuse 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Connecticut commits fewer turnovers in 36% of simulations and they go on to win 62% when they take care of the ball. Syracuse wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Lyle McCombs is averaging 80 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Ryan Nassib is averaging 254 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SYR -4

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